PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Wacha vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Wacha's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Wacha's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Changeup 26%Cutter 14%Sinker 14%Slider 11%Curveball 8%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Wacha, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 395 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NF Nick Fortes RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .275
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BW Ben Williamson RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-22 game page →