PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Wacha vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Wacha's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Wacha's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .291vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Changeup 26%Cutter 14%Sinker 14%Slider 10%Curveball 9%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Wacha, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Junior Caminero RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .266
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.