PITCHER MATCHUP
Michael Wacha vs Texas Rangers
How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Wacha's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Michael Wacha's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Changeup 25%Cutter 14%Sinker 14%Slider 11%Curveball 9%
How the Texas Rangers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Wacha, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .309
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1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .341
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 591 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JB Jake Burger RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 EC Evan Carter LHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AO Alejandro Osuna LHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Osuna
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .289
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JS Josh Smith LHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.