PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Wacha vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Wacha's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Wacha's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .299vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Changeup 26%Cutter 14%Sinker 14%Slider 10%Curveball 9%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Wacha, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 671 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .364
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 572 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .421 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BH Bryce Harper LHB .372
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.