PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Wacha vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Wacha's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Wacha's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Changeup 25%Cutter 15%Sinker 14%Slider 11%Curveball 9%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Wacha, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .330
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .367
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .426 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .378
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-04 game page →