PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Wacha vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Wacha's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Wacha's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .311vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Changeup 25%Cutter 14%Sinker 14%Slider 11%Curveball 8%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Wacha, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW James Wood LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CM Curtis Mead RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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