PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Wacha vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Wacha's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Wacha's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Changeup 26%Cutter 14%Sinker 14%Slider 10%Curveball 9%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Wacha, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.