PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Wacha vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Wacha's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Wacha's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Changeup 25%Cutter 15%Sinker 14%Slider 11%Curveball 9%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Wacha, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .334
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BB Brett Baty LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Juan Soto LHB .395
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .452 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MV Mark Vientos RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 FL Francisco Lindor SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-09 game page →