PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Wacha vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Wacha's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Wacha's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Changeup 26%Cutter 14%Sinker 14%Slider 10%Curveball 9%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Wacha, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .226 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 578 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JY Jared Young LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Luis Torrens RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.