PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Wacha vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Wacha's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Wacha's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Changeup 26%Cutter 15%Sinker 14%Slider 10%Curveball 9%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Wacha, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ER Esteury Ruiz RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esteury Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-03 game page →