PITCHER MATCHUP
Michael Wacha vs Los Angeles Dodgers
How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Wacha's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Michael Wacha's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Changeup 26%Cutter 14%Sinker 14%Slider 10%Curveball 9%
How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Wacha, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .327
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1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 643 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 AP Andy Pages RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MM Max Muncy LHB .349
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TE Tommy Edman SH .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 WS Will Smith RHB .353
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 AF Alex Freeland SH .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.