PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Wacha vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Wacha's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Wacha's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Changeup 26%Cutter 15%Sinker 14%Slider 10%Curveball 9%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Wacha, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 632 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AP Andy Pages RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TE Tommy Edman SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AF Alex Freeland SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WS Will Smith RHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.