PITCHER MATCHUP

Merrill Kelly vs Athletics

How the Athletics's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Merrill Kelly's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Merrill Kelly's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .374vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Changeup 26%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Cutter 18%Sinker 12%Curveball 10%Slider 9%

How the Athletics's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Athletics's top-9-by-AB hitters against Merrill Kelly, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 SL Shea Langeliers RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shea Langeliers
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TS Tyler Soderstrom LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Soderstrom
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jeff McNeil LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeff McNeil
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 LB Lawrence Butler LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lawrence Butler
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JW Jacob Wilson RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Wilson
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Carlos Cortes LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Cortes
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HB Henry Bolte RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Bolte
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JH Jonah Heim SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Heim
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MM Max Muncy RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-22 game page →