PITCHER MATCHUP

Merrill Kelly vs Athletics

How the Athletics's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Merrill Kelly's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Merrill Kelly's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .379vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Changeup 27%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Cutter 17%Sinker 12%Curveball 11%Slider 9%

How the Athletics's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Athletics's top-9-by-AB hitters against Merrill Kelly, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 JM Jeff McNeil LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeff McNeil
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 LB Lawrence Butler LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lawrence Butler
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 HB Henry Bolte RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Bolte
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ZG Zack Gelof RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zack Gelof
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .228 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JH Jonah Heim SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Heim
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CC Carlos Cortes LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Cortes
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Max Muncy RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DW Donovan Walton LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Donovan Walton
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AW Alika Williams RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alika Williams
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.