PITCHER MATCHUP

Merrill Kelly vs Los Angeles Angels

How the Los Angeles Angels's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Merrill Kelly's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Merrill Kelly's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .376vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Changeup 27%Four-Seam Fastball 26%Cutter 17%Sinker 12%Curveball 11%Slider 9%

How the Los Angeles Angels's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Angels's top-9-by-AB hitters against Merrill Kelly, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 ZN Zach Neto RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 MT Mike Trout RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Trout
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vaughn Grissom RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vaughn Grissom
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MB Moisés Ballesteros LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Moisés Ballesteros
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JL Josh Lowe LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Lowe
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 WM Wade Meckler LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wade Meckler
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 DG Denzer Guzman RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Denzer Guzman
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JS Jose Siri RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Siri
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.