PITCHER MATCHUP

Merrill Kelly vs Los Angeles Angels

How the Los Angeles Angels's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Merrill Kelly's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Merrill Kelly's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .373vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Changeup 27%Four-Seam Fastball 26%Cutter 17%Sinker 11%Curveball 11%Slider 9%

How the Los Angeles Angels's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Angels's top-9-by-AB hitters against Merrill Kelly, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 ZN Zach Neto RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 MT Mike Trout RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Trout
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vaughn Grissom RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vaughn Grissom
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 NS Nolan Schanuel SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Schanuel
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 535 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MB Moisés Ballesteros LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Moisés Ballesteros
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JL Josh Lowe LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Lowe
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 WM Wade Meckler LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wade Meckler
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 DG Denzer Guzman RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Denzer Guzman
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.