PITCHER MATCHUP

Merrill Kelly vs Los Angeles Angels

How the Los Angeles Angels's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Merrill Kelly's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Merrill Kelly's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .373vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Changeup 26%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Cutter 18%Sinker 12%Curveball 10%Slider 9%

How the Los Angeles Angels's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Angels's top-9-by-AB hitters against Merrill Kelly, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 ZN Zach Neto RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JA Jo Adell RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 NS Nolan Schanuel SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Schanuel
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MT Mike Trout RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Trout
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Jorge Soler RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Soler
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 VG Vaughn Grissom RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vaughn Grissom
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JL Josh Lowe LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Lowe
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 WM Wade Meckler LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wade Meckler
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.