PITCHER MATCHUP

Merrill Kelly vs Los Angeles Angels

How the Los Angeles Angels's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Merrill Kelly's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Merrill Kelly's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .372vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Changeup 26%Four-Seam Fastball 24%Cutter 19%Sinker 12%Curveball 10%Slider 9%

How the Los Angeles Angels's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Angels's top-9-by-AB hitters against Merrill Kelly, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 ZN Zach Neto RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MT Mike Trout RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Trout
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NS Nolan Schanuel SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Schanuel
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 LO Logan O'Hoppe RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Logan O'Hoppe
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 WM Wade Meckler LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wade Meckler
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 DW Donovan Walton LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Donovan Walton
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JS Jose Siri RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Siri
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-16 game page →