PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Henderson vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Henderson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Henderson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .289vs RHH xwOBA .249Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Changeup 37%Cutter 14%Slider 2%Sweeper 2%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Henderson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jake Mangum SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HD Henry Davis RHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.