PITCHER MATCHUP
Logan Henderson vs Pittsburgh Pirates
How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Henderson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Logan Henderson's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .275vs RHH xwOBA .240Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Changeup 37%Cutter 15%Slider 2%Sweeper 1%
How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Henderson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .323
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1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .353
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 558 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JM Jake Mangum SH .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .350
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.