PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Henderson vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Henderson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Henderson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .286vs RHH xwOBA .256Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Changeup 35%Cutter 17%Slider 3%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Henderson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-04 game page →