PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Henderson vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Henderson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Henderson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .289vs RHH xwOBA .249Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Changeup 37%Cutter 14%Slider 2%Sweeper 2%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Henderson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .364
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LC Luis Campusano RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ST Samad Taylor SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samad Taylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.