PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Henderson vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Henderson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Henderson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .284vs RHH xwOBA .234Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Changeup 37%Cutter 14%Slider 2%Sweeper 1%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Henderson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 535 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LC Luis Campusano RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ST Samad Taylor SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samad Taylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.