PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Henderson vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Henderson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Henderson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .261Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Changeup 36%Cutter 16%Slider 4%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Henderson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .340
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BB Brett Baty LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 MS Marcus Semien RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JS Juan Soto LHB .422
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .467 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 FL Francisco Lindor SH .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 541 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-22 game page →