PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Henderson vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Henderson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Henderson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .261Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Changeup 36%Cutter 16%Slider 4%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Henderson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Joe Mack LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-17 game page →