PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Henderson vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Henderson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Henderson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .287vs RHH xwOBA .237Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Changeup 36%Cutter 16%Slider 2%Sweeper 1%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Henderson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OC Owen Caissie LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Joe Mack LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.