PITCHER MATCHUP
Logan Henderson vs Miami Marlins
How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Henderson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Logan Henderson's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .288vs RHH xwOBA .252Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Changeup 37%Cutter 14%Sweeper 2%Slider 2%
How the Miami Marlins's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Henderson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .320
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1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 JM Joe Mack LHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 OC Owen Caissie LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .369
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .435 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.