PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Henderson vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Henderson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Henderson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .288vs RHH xwOBA .252Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Changeup 37%Cutter 14%Sweeper 2%Slider 2%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Henderson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 628 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.