PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Henderson vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Henderson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Henderson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .287vs RHH xwOBA .237Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Changeup 36%Cutter 16%Slider 2%Sweeper 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Henderson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 AB Alex Bregman RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 558 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 585 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 602 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 CK Carson Kelly RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MC Michael Conforto LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MA Miguel Amaya RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Amaya
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-03 game page →