PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Henderson vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Henderson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Henderson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .278vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Changeup 35%Cutter 14%Slider 4%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Henderson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IH Iván Herrera RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .274
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-09 game page →