PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Henderson vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Henderson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Henderson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .284vs RHH xwOBA .243Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Changeup 37%Cutter 14%Slider 2%Sweeper 2%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Henderson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.