PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Henderson vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Henderson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Henderson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .284vs RHH xwOBA .245Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Changeup 36%Cutter 16%Slider 3%Sweeper 1%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Henderson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 531 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BJ Blaze Jordan RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Jordan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.