PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Henderson vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Henderson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Henderson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .284vs RHH xwOBA .245Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Changeup 36%Cutter 16%Slider 3%Sweeper 1%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Henderson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 628 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (36% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-22 game page →