PITCHER MATCHUP

Lake Bachar vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Lake Bachar's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Lake Bachar's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Slider 23%Sweeper 21%Curveball 10%Splitter 10%Sinker 3%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Lake Bachar, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-09 game page →