PITCHER MATCHUP

Lake Bachar vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Lake Bachar's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Lake Bachar's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Slider 23%Sweeper 20%Curveball 11%Splitter 10%Sinker 2%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Lake Bachar, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 585 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-20 game page →