PITCHER MATCHUP

Lake Bachar vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Lake Bachar's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Lake Bachar's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .309Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Slider 23%Sweeper 23%Splitter 11%Curveball 7%Sinker 2%Unknown 1%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Lake Bachar, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 579 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Willy Adames RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 585 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DS Daniel Susac RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daniel Susac
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Drew Cavanaugh LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Cavanaugh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CK Christian Koss RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Koss
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GM Grant McCray LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Grant McCray
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.