PITCHER MATCHUP

Lake Bachar vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Lake Bachar's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Lake Bachar's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .298vs RHH xwOBA .307Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Sweeper 24%Slider 23%Splitter 12%Curveball 5%Sinker 1%Unknown 1%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Lake Bachar, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 WA Willy Adames RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 LA Luis Arraez LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 610 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MC Matt Chapman RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Chapman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Casey Schmitt RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Casey Schmitt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Daniel Susac RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daniel Susac
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-19 game page →