PITCHER MATCHUP

Lake Bachar vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Lake Bachar's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Lake Bachar's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .287vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Slider 23%Sweeper 20%Curveball 12%Splitter 9%Sinker 2%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Lake Bachar, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SF Sal Frelick LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.