PITCHER MATCHUP

Lake Bachar vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Lake Bachar's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Lake Bachar's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Slider 23%Sweeper 20%Curveball 10%Splitter 10%Sinker 2%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Lake Bachar, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 572 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DH David Hamilton LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-15 game page →