PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Leahy vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Leahy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Leahy's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .362vs RHH xwOBA .309Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Slider 18%Curveball 17%Sweeper 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 11%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Leahy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-12 game page →