PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Leahy vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Leahy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Leahy's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .377vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Slider 19%Curveball 16%Sweeper 14%Changeup 11%Sinker 10%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Leahy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BB Byron Buxton RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KC Kody Clemens SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 AM Austin Martin RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RL Royce Lewis RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.