PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Leahy vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Leahy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Leahy's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .362vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 19%Curveball 16%Sweeper 13%Changeup 11%Sinker 11%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Leahy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TG Tristan Gray LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Gray
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.