PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Leahy vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Leahy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Leahy's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .361vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Slider 18%Curveball 16%Sweeper 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 11%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Leahy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-07 game page →