PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Leahy vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Leahy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Leahy's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .359vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Slider 18%Curveball 16%Sweeper 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 11%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Leahy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.