PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Leahy vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Leahy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Leahy's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .359vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Slider 18%Curveball 17%Sweeper 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 11%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Leahy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 599 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EA Edwin Arroyo SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edwin Arroyo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.