PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Leahy vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Leahy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Leahy's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .359vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Slider 18%Curveball 16%Sweeper 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 11%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Leahy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .426 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BS Bryson Stott LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 JC Justin Crawford LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 DH Derek Hill RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Derek Hill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 SW Shay Whitcomb RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shay Whitcomb
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.