PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Leahy vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Leahy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Leahy's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .359vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Slider 18%Curveball 16%Sweeper 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 11%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Leahy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 716 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .429 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 572 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.