PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Leahy vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Leahy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Leahy's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .366vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Slider 18%Curveball 16%Sweeper 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 11%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Leahy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 661 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BH Bryce Harper LHB .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 563 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .428 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-12 game page →