PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Leahy vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Leahy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Leahy's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .362vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 19%Curveball 16%Sweeper 13%Changeup 11%Sinker 11%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Leahy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TF Ty France RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LR Luis Rengifo SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Rengifo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.