PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Leahy vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Leahy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Leahy's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .358vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Slider 18%Curveball 16%Sweeper 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 11%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Leahy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .420 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-18 game page →