PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Leahy vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Leahy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Leahy's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .366vs RHH xwOBA .332Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 19%Curveball 16%Sweeper 14%Changeup 11%Sinker 11%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Leahy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 OC Owen Caissie LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JM Joe Mack LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-28 game page →