PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Leahy vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Leahy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Leahy's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .366vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Slider 18%Curveball 16%Sweeper 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 11%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Leahy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 OC Owen Caissie LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Joe Mack LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.