PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Leahy vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Leahy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Leahy's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .369vs RHH xwOBA .332Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 19%Curveball 16%Sweeper 14%Changeup 11%Sinker 10%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Leahy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 KM Ketel Marte SH .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 AD Adrian Del Castillo LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adrian Del Castillo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LG Lourdes Gurriel Jr. RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Jorge Barrosa SH .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Barrosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-23 game page →