PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Leahy vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Leahy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Leahy's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .366vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Slider 18%Curveball 16%Sweeper 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 11%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Leahy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.