PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Leahy vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Leahy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Leahy's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .363vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Slider 18%Curveball 17%Sweeper 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 11%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Leahy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 629 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .426 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.