PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Leahy vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Leahy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Leahy's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .359vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Slider 18%Curveball 16%Sweeper 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 11%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Leahy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 681 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Lane Thomas RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.