PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Leahy vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Leahy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Leahy's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .362vs RHH xwOBA .309Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Slider 18%Curveball 17%Sweeper 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 11%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Leahy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MS Myles Straw RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.