PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Leahy vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Leahy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Leahy's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .362vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 19%Curveball 16%Sweeper 13%Changeup 11%Sinker 11%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Leahy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MS Myles Straw RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-31 game page →