PITCHER MATCHUP

Kade Morris vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kade Morris's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kade Morris's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .433vs RHH xwOBA .272Seasons 2026
Sinker 38%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Slider 16%Changeup 13%Sweeper 9%Curveball 5%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kade Morris, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .333
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .376
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .449 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.