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Pitcher

Kade Morris

Swingman
Model projection · strikeout prop
70.8%
70.8% against a 57.7% break-even. Over 2.5 Ks, tonight vs. SEA. Confidence high.
ERA
9.82
FIP
–
IP
14.2
W-L
0-1
WHIP
2.11
K%
13.3
BB%
8.0
GB%
–
K/9
6.1
HR/9
2.5

Tonight's Matchup

vs. Mariners · pregame

Projected xwOBA vs. Mariners current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) — season profile, not tonight's posted lineup · lineup avg .333

  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JN Josh Naylor LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 564 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .369
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .436 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 617 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
▸ Full season matchup breakdown → · game preview

Sinker

SI · lead pitch

36% of pitches · .362 xwOBA allowed · 28 BIP · where it goes, what it costs

Pitcher Locations
where he throws it · catcher’s view
0%0%0%0%0%3%2%0%2%0%17%20%17%5%2%6%3%3%0%2%1%2%6%4%4%
Rare 0% · Common 10% · Very common 20%+
xwOBA Allowed
damage done by zone · all batters
–––––.332––––.283.436.214.443––1.090.153––––.129.701–
Cold .200 · Avg .310 · Hot .500+
Expected Damage
locations × damage zones
–––––.010––––.049.088.037.023––.033.005––––.008.028–
Low risk · Average · High-risk zone
Sinker (36% usage) has allowed .362 xwOBA over 28 balls in play — his most-used pitch.

Arsenal

usage × whiff, ranked

6 pitch types · 286-pitch sample · 2026 season

Sinker SI
36% usage · 10% whiff · .362 xwOBA · 93.6 mph
Four-Seam Fastball FF
19% usage · 7% whiff · .307 xwOBA · 94.6 mph
Slider SL
16% usage · .272 xwOBA · 88.3 mph
Changeup CH
12% usage · .467 xwOBA · 88.4 mph
Sweeper ST
11% usage · .181 xwOBA · 81.5 mph
Curveball CU
6% usage · .299 xwOBA
Whiff% Trend
last 5 outings · by pitch · min 5 swings per point
01020304050607080906/66/297/48/248/30
SinkerFour-Seam FastballSlider
Hand Splits
K% + xwOBA allowed by batter side · 2026 season
SplitK%xwOBASample
vs. LHB5.1 .400 39
vs. RHB22.2 .248 36
Live · client-hydrated

Market lines

current pick’em lines by book · updates through the day

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Live · client-hydrated

DFS picks

today’s picks for this pitcher, probability-sorted · graded nightly

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