PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .201vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 18%Sinker 15%Slider 4%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TG Trent Grisham LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC José Caballero RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AW Austin Wells LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.