PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .214vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 32%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 19%Sinker 14%Slider 5%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Ben Rice LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TG Trent Grisham LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AW Austin Wells LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AR Amed Rosario RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Amed Rosario
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-24 game page →