PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .207vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 19%Sinker 15%Slider 4%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC José Caballero RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AW Austin Wells LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.