PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .204vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 18%Sinker 15%Slider 4%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 VC Victor Caratini SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.