PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .205vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 19%Sinker 15%Slider 5%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Byron Buxton RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AM Austin Martin RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-15 game page →