PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .201vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 18%Sinker 15%Slider 4%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.