PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .227vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 32%Four-Seam Fastball 30%Changeup 19%Sinker 14%Slider 5%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SM Starling Marte RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Starling Marte
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-04 game page →