PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .205vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 19%Sinker 15%Slider 5%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .437 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nick Loftin RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KI Kyle Isbel LHB .271
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Isbel
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SM Starling Marte RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Starling Marte
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.