PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .201vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 18%Sinker 15%Slider 4%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.