PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .205vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 19%Sinker 15%Slider 5%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DM Dane Myers RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.