PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .201vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 18%Sinker 15%Slider 4%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .385
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .449 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.