PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .208vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 19%Sinker 15%Slider 5%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.