PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .221vs RHH xwOBA .307Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 31%Four-Seam Fastball 30%Changeup 19%Sinker 14%Slider 6%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BB Brett Baty LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Juan Soto LHB .387
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .465 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MV Mark Vientos RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MM MJ Melendez LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. MJ Melendez
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-28 game page →