PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .204vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 18%Sinker 15%Slider 4%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 626 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .386
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .451 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MV Mark Vientos RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.