PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .204vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 18%Sinker 15%Slider 4%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.