PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .201vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 18%Sinker 15%Slider 4%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 OC Owen Caissie LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.