PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .214vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 32%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 19%Sinker 14%Slider 5%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Joe Mack LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.