PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .226vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 31%Four-Seam Fastball 31%Changeup 20%Sinker 13%Slider 6%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CN Connor Norby RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OC Owen Caissie LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-16 game page →