PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .206vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 19%Sinker 15%Slider 5%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 CY Cole Young LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 606 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VR Victor Robles RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LR Leo Rivas SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Rivas
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-26 game page →