PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .201vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 18%Sinker 15%Slider 4%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.