PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .201vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 18%Sinker 15%Slider 4%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.