PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .206vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 19%Sinker 15%Slider 5%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 531 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BJ Blaze Jordan RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Jordan
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.