PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .207vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 19%Sinker 15%Slider 4%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 646 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .446 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Lane Thomas RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-07 game page →