PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .204vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 18%Sinker 15%Slider 4%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.