PITCHER MATCHUP

Jesús Luzardo vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jesús Luzardo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jesús Luzardo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .214vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 32%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 19%Sinker 14%Slider 5%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jesús Luzardo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MS Myles Straw RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.