PITCHER MATCHUP

Janson Junk vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Janson Junk's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Janson Junk's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .340vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Slider 23%Sweeper 14%Changeup 14%Curveball 10%Sinker 2%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Janson Junk, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 567 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.