PITCHER MATCHUP

Janson Junk vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Janson Junk's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Janson Junk's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Slider 23%Sweeper 14%Changeup 14%Curveball 10%Sinker 2%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Janson Junk, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .454 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .371
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AB Alec Bohm RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BS Bryson Stott LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 582 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.