PITCHER MATCHUP

Janson Junk vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Janson Junk's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Janson Junk's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .348vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Slider 25%Sweeper 14%Changeup 13%Curveball 9%Sinker 2%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Janson Junk, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 669 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 570 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BH Bryce Harper LHB .372
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-17 game page →