PITCHER MATCHUP

Janson Junk vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Janson Junk's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Janson Junk's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Slider 24%Sweeper 14%Changeup 14%Curveball 10%Sinker 2%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Janson Junk, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .303
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JY Jacob Young RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DC Dylan Crews RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BH Brady House RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT José Tena LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Tena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-23 game page →