PITCHER MATCHUP

Janson Junk vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Janson Junk's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Janson Junk's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Slider 25%Sweeper 14%Changeup 13%Curveball 9%Sinker 2%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Janson Junk, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-31 game page →