PITCHER MATCHUP

Janson Junk vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Janson Junk's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Janson Junk's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .344vs RHH xwOBA .307Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Slider 24%Sweeper 14%Changeup 14%Curveball 10%Sinker 2%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Janson Junk, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 608 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .395
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .450 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.