PITCHER MATCHUP

Janson Junk vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Janson Junk's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Janson Junk's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Slider 23%Sweeper 14%Changeup 14%Curveball 10%Sinker 2%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Janson Junk, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .430 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.