PITCHER MATCHUP

Janson Junk vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Janson Junk's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Janson Junk's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Slider 24%Sweeper 14%Changeup 14%Curveball 10%Sinker 2%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Janson Junk, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 CY Cole Young LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 543 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 605 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BD Brendan Donovan LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brendan Donovan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 VR Victor Robles RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.