PITCHER MATCHUP

Janson Junk vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Janson Junk's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Janson Junk's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .347vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Slider 24%Sweeper 14%Changeup 14%Curveball 10%Sinker 2%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Janson Junk, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 AB Alex Bregman RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 562 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 587 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CK Carson Kelly RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MC Michael Conforto LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 TT Tyrone Taylor RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyrone Taylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-04 game page →